A US Navy destroyer takes part in the
China-US search and rescue drill in South China Sea on November 19, 2006.
[newsphoto]
|
WASHINGTON - The United States has
been exaggerating China's nuclear clout in a process that could lock the two
into a Cold War-style arms race, two arms-control advocacy groups said in a
report Thursday.
The Defense Department and US intelligence agencies have portrayed Chinese
weapons developments as more threatening than warranted, to justify building a
new generation of weapons, according to the study by the Federation of American
Scientists and the Natural Resources Defense Council.
"The report's main finding is that the Pentagon and others routinely
highlight specific incidents out of context that inaccurately portray a looming
Chinese threat," the groups said in a statement.
Specifically, they said, the Defense Department and US intelligence agencies
had been "embellishing China's submarine and long-range missile capabilities."
China, in turn, views US arms upgrades as a reason for modernizing its
arsenal, said the 250-page report, which is based on an analysis of declassified
and unclassified US government documents as well as commercial satellite images
of Chinese installations.
This could pitch the two into "a dangerous action-and-reaction competition
reminiscent of the Cold War," the two groups said. But they said China was
unlikely to build large nuclear forces of its own despite a desire to make its
arsenal more powerful.
"Military planners always need a rationale -- a real or potential danger --
for why they must have new weapons or new strategies and plans," said the study,
"Chinese Nuclear Forces and US Nuclear War Planning."
"With the dissolution of the Soviet Union, which occupied that role for
almost 50 years, the United States has turned its attention to China to help
fill the vacuum," it said.
The report faulted China for cloaking its nuclear forces in secrecy, amid
what it portrayed as a US government scare campaign bolstered by conservative
media and think tanks.
Beijing has not made clear of the scale, scope and purpose of its military
modernization, it said, adding: "Inflated and worst-case descriptions of China's
nuclear programs feed on the lack of information."
The Pentagon and the office of the Director of National Intelligence had no
immediate comment.
The report said the US arsenal of about 10,000 nuclear weapons dwarfed
China's roughly 200 and would continue to do so.
In a long-range planning document published in February, the Pentagon sounded
an alarm at China's investments in "sophisticated land and sea-based (nuclear
strike) systems."
The threat puts a premium on developing US forces "capable of sustained
operations at great distances into denied areas," the Pentagon's planning review
said.
China is about to field three new long-range ballistic missiles that US
intelligence says were developed in response to Washington's deployment of
more-accurate Trident II sea-launched ballistic missiles.
China has about 20 ballistic missiles capable of reaching the continental
United States; the United States has more than 830 missiles -- most with
multiple warheads -- that can hit China, it added.
"China is no Soviet Union," said Robert Norris, a Natural Resources Defense
Council analyst and a report co-author. He said the Pentagon had been using
China to justify buying new missiles, destroyers, submarines and fighter planes.
Hans Kristensen, project director at the Federation of American Scientists
and the report's lead author, told Reuters: "The hype has occurred, as far as we
can see, in the assessments of the size of the Chinese nuclear arsenal,
predicting and reporting when new systems will be deployed, and in
'cherry-picking' dramatic new developments taken out of context that overstate a
threat."